22
Jun
2009

GoldCore Precious Metals Market Update

Gold
Gold steadied on Friday as the dollar index reversed earlier losses but it is still taking its direction from the currency markets. The dollar remains in a very tight range ahead of a Federal Reserve meeting next week. Furthermore, the lack of any sell-off in gold in the wake of the latest IMF gold sale would indicate that the effect of these sales is already factored into the price.

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18
Jun
2009

GoldCore Precious Metals Update

Gold:
The long term trend line price of gold at $925, which has been steady since Monday, pushed higher today based on news that the World Bank has raised its growth forecast for China. The Chinese stock market rallied as did commodities across the board. Another main factor behind the return of bullish sentiment for gold is the euro. In contrast to the US Treasury, the ECB has stated that it does not intend to cut interest rates further which has pushed the euro to 1.39444 and gold is holding firm. 

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17
Jun
2009

GoldCore Precious Metals Update

Gold:
Yesterday’s comments by Russian President Dmitry Medvedev at the BRIC summit, calling upon the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to expand the currency basket of Special Drawing Rights to include the Chinese yuan, commodity currencies and gold in order that it matures into a reserve currency, is positive for gold as it shows how gold is again being viewed as an important monetary asset.

Gold is currently trading at $930.40/€672 and £571.

Silver:

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16
Jun
2009

GoldCore Precious Metals Update

Gold: Gold’s correction has been quite sharp but given the extent of the rise since mid April (from $864/oz to over $980/oz or over 13% in just 6 weeks) it is not unexpected. A 50% retracement of sharp rallies is quite common and yesterday’s lows of $925/oz is very close to an exact 50% retracement.

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22
May
2009

Gold Investments Market Update

Gold rallied strongly yesterday to a high of $955, taking out the $945 resistance level in the process. Overhead resistance now stands at $967.

The US dollar weakened significantly against all the major currencies as the negative sentiment towards sovereign credit shifted from the UK to the US in the wake of the S&P report yesterday. S&P have put the UK on negative watch from a credit ratings perspective. The expectation that the US could possibly lose its AAA credit rating, triggered a sell-off in US bonds and the dollar simultaneously.

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21
May
2009

Gold Investments Market Update – Inflation and the Dollar

Recent intense deflationary pressure had taken the shine off gold but with the dollar sliding yesterday, inflation came back to the fore causing gold to rise by more than 1.2%. This morning the metal was over $943, the highest in 8 weeks. This is a strong signal and it could be time for the resistance levels to be tested. If $946 is breached, the next level to look for would be $967.

Silver was a little more sluggish than gold with only a 0.5% gain. It touched $14.40 this morning before moving back to $14.30. This could signal a correction, as $14.40 represents a double top.

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20
May
2009

Beware of Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs) Bearing Gold

Gold Bullion Unique as No Counterparty Risk

Gold is unique among asset classes as it is the only asset class not dependent on the performance of auditors, management, corporations, financial institutions, banks, politicians and governments. Nor should physical gold be dependent on the performance of trustees, custodians and or sub custodians.  Gold does not depend on the performance and health of the wider economy and as importantly when you buy gold in its physical form there is no third party liability or credit risk. Or at least there should not be. Gold has an intrinsic value in and of itself that is not contingent on someone else’s or some entities performance or mere promise to pay. Thus, gold in its physical form is still the ultimate form of financial insurance. This is why every major central bank in the world still maintains a significant portion of their reserves in gold bullion and many, such as the Chinese, are now increasing their gold bullion reserves.

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20
May
2009

Gold Investments Market Update

Gold demand soared 38% to 1015.5 tonnes in the first quarter of 2009 according to The World Gold Council’s “Gold Demand Trends” report. A combination of factors including diversification, safe haven buying and inflation hedge demand are attributed with the upsurge. However, George Milling-Stanley, the Managing Director of the WGC also cites the global shift in sentiment from “capital appreciation to wealth preservation.”

Rumours that the Russian Central Bank may allow Russian banks to pledge gold as collateral are also circulating the market.

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18
May
2009

Gold Investments Market Update

Global markets perceive that economic green-shoots may be growing on stony ground as the rally in the Dow ran out of steam last week. Inflation figures published in the US suggested that core inflation may be higher than previously expected, contributed to the down week for the Dow and a minor strengthening of the Greenback.

Despite the dollar strengthening, gold benefited from the outflows from both stocks and commodities.

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15
May
2009

The horse race: Betting on individual companies

The Horse Race

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