Gold fell in US trading hours yesterday for no apparent reason; but on the Fed announcement, gold surged by nearly 7% in afterhours access trade. Gold leapt from its session low of $884.10/oz to a high of $946.20/oz, a jump of nearly 7 per cent and silver also surged some 7%.
Moneyweek’s Dominic Frisby writes that he is detecting a certain amount of bullishness in the UK housing market. People with cash are talking about buying to take advantage of lower property prices and interest rates. Nevertheless, he says,
Gold fell 2.2% yesterday (silver -3.1%) as increasing risk appetite saw stock markets in the US surge. A rally in stock markets was overdue but the sustainability of this latest rally is doubtful and equity markets in Asia were mixed and after a lower start, are tentatively higher in Europe.
After the bounce in recent days, gold sold off again yesterday and was down 2.77% (silver -3.2%). After the falls seen in the last two weeks a period of consolidation will be needed and gold may fall further prior to rising strongly above the psychological and technical level of $1,000/oz.
With $50 trillion having been wiped off the value of assets internationally (primarily property and equities) there will likely be a long term shift towards risk aversion and wealth preservation.
Gold’s recent downward trend may have ended last week after gold closed moderately higher for the week (gold +0.03% and silver +1.75%). The performance was impressive considering the continuing steep declines in stock markets (Nasdaq , DJIA, S&P down 6.1%, 6.17% and 7.03% respectively).
Gold’s outlook remains extremely positive especially as big money interests are once again realizing the safe haven attributes of the yellow metal.
As expected gold bounced yesterday after its recent sharp falls. Gold’s lack of correlation with equities (gold has occasional very short term correlation with equities) was seen again as gold and silver were up some 2% while major US indices were down by some 4%.
Citigroup, once the world’s largest bank, fell below $1 per share and General Motors is struggling to avoid bankruptcy.