The geopolitical ramifications of the revolution in Egypt and the likelihood that it will spread throughout the Middle East, North Africa and possibly further afield is leading to volatility in markets. Equity indices in the Middle East and Far East were mostly down (except for China) overnight. European bourses were under pressure this morning but have recovered somewhat.
The World Gold Council released their excellent quarterly 'Gold Investment Digest'. The research has some interesting facts and important charts and shows that global demand was robust and broad based for both the final quarter and the year. Those continuing to call gold a bubble, often based on a lack of knowledge of the gold market, and failing to advise diversification, should read the report.
What were termed "shock" UK GDP figures yesterday, led to falls in the FTSE and the pound sterling which fell against the dollar and gold. Sterling's fall saw sterling gold prices rise from £833 per ounce to over £842 per ounce after the news. Economists were once again surprised by the very poor UK GDP figures which showed the economy has contracted by 0.5% rather than growth of 0.5%. This clearly shows that the UK is now experiencingstagflation or high inflation and very low or contracting economic growth.
Gold and silver's sell off has continued this morning. Despite gold's 3.75% and silver's nearly 8.4% fall in January and the continued sell off in futures markets, physical demand remains robust and supply tight. While speculators are taking profits and some shorting, investors and those who see gold as a store of value continue to accumulate physical.
After gains in Asia, the precious metals have come under pressure in Europe. The recent sharp sell off has seen gold fall 5.7% in January. Nothing whatsoever has changed regarding the fundamentals of the precious metal markets and long term buyers are again buying on the dip. As long as interest rates remain near historic lows and real interest rates continue to punish savers, gold's bull market remains sound.
Gold is flat and silver marginally lower despite dollar weakness this morning. Some market participants are blaming the precious metal sell off on speculation that China may take more monetary action to curb surging inflation. This is unlikely to be the reason for the sharp selloff, rather it looks like another paper driven sell off in the futures market by leveraged players on Wall Street with various motives.
GOLD Gold has fallen by 1.7% and silver by 4% as the US dollar has bounced from 2 month lows. Some are attributing the sell off to interest rate hikes in Brazil and the bounce in the dollar. However, it is more likely due to further selling by momentum-driven traders who see that the short term trend is down and they are sticking it to under pressure longs. Gold is currently trading at $1,347.73/oz, €1,004.19/oz and £850.12/oz.
GOLD Gold is slightly higher in the US dollar and other major currencies. Spot silver has given up early gains but the futures market has seen longer term contracts fall more in price so that while spot is up $0.09 to $28.96/oz, the July 11 contract is only trading up $0.01 to $29.00 and and the December 11 contract has fallen by $0.084 to $29.01. The dollar has fallen to 78.42 on the US Dollar Index and is looking technically vulnerable of falling to long term support at 76.0.
*** BullionVault Clarification ***
Gold Gold and silver have fallen in most currencies today but are higher in the “commodity currencies” of Canadian, Australian and New Zealand dollars, and flat in Swiss francs. Gold and silver are both slightly higher for the week in US dollar terms but weaker in terms of other currencies. Gold is currently trading at $1,365.95/oz, €1,023.11/oz and £861.20/oz.
Gold Gold and silver have fallen by less than 1% in all major currencies today. Asian equities were mixed with strong selling seen in India and European equities and US index futures are tentatively higher. Eurozone periphery bonds yields have fallen as have those in Germany (10 year) after rising above 3% in recent days. Gold is currently trading at $1,385.30/oz, €1,046.24/oz and £875.67/oz.
Gold Gold is marginally higher in US dollars while silver has risen by nearly 1% in all major currencies this morning. Risk appetite remains highs as seen in higher Asian and European bourses today. The US, Hong Kong and New Zealand dollar are weaker as are Australian and German government bonds (which rose 6 basis points and 4 basis points to 5.51% and 2.96% respectively). Gold is currently trading at $1,383.29/oz, €1,065.88/oz and £887.27/oz.
Gold Gold remains well supported in all major currencies this morning, especially the euro, pound, yen and the New Zealand and Australian dollar. Concerns about inflation, credit bubbles and the growing likelihood that the Eurozone debt crisis will deepen is leading to continuing safe haven demand for gold – particularly in India, China and wider Asia. Gold is currently trading at $1,382.05/oz, €1,067.63/oz and £887.37/oz.
Gold Gold is marginally lower today despite EU sovereign debt issues again being focused on. Gold should be well supported at the 100 day moving average and some analysts are saying that last Friday’s sell off may mark the low for the year. Gold is currently trading at $1,367.25/oz, €1,060.72/oz and £881.26/oz.
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