Gold Gold is marginally lower today despite EU sovereign debt issues again being focused on. Gold should be well supported at the 100 day moving average and some analysts are saying that last Friday’s sell off may mark the low for the year. Gold is currently trading at $1,367.25/oz, €1,060.72/oz and £881.26/oz.
Review of 2010 Summary 2010 was a year that many will be glad to see the back of due to the deepening of the global economic crisis and the ensuing financial and economic hardship visited upon many. Worst hit were the unfortunately named PIGS with Portugal, Spain and particularly Greece and Ireland suffering the wrath of the bond vigilantes, austerity measures and deepening economic crises.
Gold The final week of 2010 has seen a continuation of trends seen in markets throughout the year with equities and commodities continuing to rise. Investors increasingly wary of inflation are pushing commodity prices - particularly metals - higher, with copper hitting a new record nominal high, palladium reaching a nine-year high and silver at a new 30-year record nominal high at $30.90/oz (€23.25/oz and £19.86/oz). Gold is currently trading at $1,411.15/oz, €1,064.62/oz and £913.90/oz.
Gold Gold has fallen marginally in all major currencies today. Market participants are winding down before the holiday break and further profit taking and year end book squaring is seeing volume fall and gold remain in a tight range. Gold will likely get direction from the durable goods orders, consumer sentiment and new home sales data later today. Gold is currently trading at $1,382.43/oz, €1,055.37/oz and £897.97/oz.
Gold Gold and silver edged moderately higher again yesterday in most currencies. Profit taking and book squaring prior to year end have led to lacklustre range bound price action. News that the IMF gold sales to central banks has been completed, saw gold prices rise slightly. Despite the gold sales being off market - directly from the IMF to creditor nation central banks diversifying monetary reserves - the potential overhang of IMF gold supply and perceived risk was one of the few bearish factors in the gold market.
Gold Gold's recent correction continued yesterday but it has risen today as the dollar has fallen. Gold is up in most currencies this morning except in euro terms as the euro has seen a relief rally on the outcome of the EU agreement to create a post-1913 crisis tool. Fundamental disagreements remain though and the agreement may not be enough to stop the debt crisis from deepening with many analysts pinpointing the first quarter of 2011 as a high risk period. Gold is currently trading at $1,371.78/oz, €1,030.20/oz and £878.47/oz.
Gold Gold and silver are higher this morning ahead of a crucial EU summit on the deepening euro zone debt crisis today. The euro firmed slightly in overnight trade but has since given up those gains and is trading at USD 1.322, and €1,047/oz. Given that the crisis shows no signs of abating any time soon, with concerns shifting from Ireland and Greece to Belgium, Portugal and Spain, gold will likely continue to receive safe haven demand for the foreseeable future.
Gold Gold has risen in major currencies again today on continuing concerns about the dollar and paper currencies, and growing concerns about the emergence of inflation internationally. Commodity prices remain strong with bellwether copper rising to new record nominal highs and oil continuing to hover near $90 a barrel. Gold is currently trading at $1,405.35/oz, €1,044.48/oz and £886.04/oz.
Gold Most currencies fell against gold yesterday and again today as the euro and dollar are under slight pressure this morning. Both gold and silver look set to finish the week slightly lower in dollars and most currencies (except the euro) which is a bearish short term omen. Especially as the end of the year approaches and there could be some year-end book balancing and profit taking. Gold is currently trading at $1,391.19/oz, €1,049.56/oz and £878.35/oz.
Gold Market focus has shifted to the US bond market and concerns about ultra accommodative US monetary and fiscal policy and continuing quantitative easing. This has seen heavy selling of long term US government debt and long term interest rates have thus risen. The yield on US 10 year Treasuries (benchmark cost of capital internationally) has risen from below 2.4% to over 3.2% in just two months and from 2.95% to 3.23% since just last Monday and the speed of the rise is what is concerning.
Gold Gold and silver prices reached new record highs of $1,430.95/oz and 30 year highs of $30.68/oz respectively yesterday. It is important to remember that these are nominal highs of more than 30 years ago. Adjusted for inflation, the record highs are $2,300/oz and $130/oz (see silver charts below). Gold also reached new record nominal highs in sterling, euros and most major currencies yesterday on growing concerns about currency debasement. Gold is currently trading at $1,395.56/oz, €1,053.81/oz and £885.73/oz.
Gold Gold has reached new record nominal highs (in most major currencies) and silver a new 30 year nominal high due to a variety of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Market focus remains on the Eurozone debt crisis but has shifted somewhat to concerns about ultra loose US monetary policy and the likelihood that this will lead to a devaluation of the dollar, inflation and currency debasement. Gold is currently trading at $1,428.68/oz, €1,067.69/oz and £904.57/oz.
Gold Gold is higher in all currencies again this morning (see Cross Currency Table below) and is heading for a second weekly gain in dollars (and other major currencies), as China's imports surged, geopolitical risk in the Korean peninsula remains elevated and uncertainty about the euro, currencies and paper assets in general is leading to continued safe haven demand. Gold is currently trading at $1,390.30/oz, €1,054.78/oz and £890.30/oz.
Gold Gold and silver are higher again today in all currencies after eking out marginal gains yesterday, when gold rose to new record nominal highs in euros and in British pounds at £895.44/oz. The weakness of sterling against gold shows that the euro and the dollar are not the only currencies about which investors are concerned. Gold at $1,391/oz remains some 2% below its record nominal high seen on the 9th of November ($1,421/oz London PM Fix) and after the recent period of consolidation looks set to challenge this level again.
Gold Concerns that the European debt crisis will spread has seen equities, bonds and the euro come under pressure and gold rise in all currencies. With the euro having fallen to 1.30 against the dollar, gold has risen to near record nominal highs over €1,056/oz. Gold is also higher in Swiss francs, Japanese yen and sterling and appears to be targeting £900/oz (GBP).
Gold Gold is steady in dollars and pounds but has risen again in euros as the dollar has fallen in world markets. Gold is being supported by renewed concerns of contagion in eurozone debt markets and the risk that tensions in the Korean peninsula will escalate into a war. The hesitant risk appetite of recent days has dissipated again on these concerns. This is seeing falls in equity markets internationally and gold being supported – particularly in euro terms.
Gold Gold has remained firm despite an increase in risk appetite as seen in the bounce in equity markets in Asia and Europe so far this morning. While Korean concerns have abated for now, eurozone "peripheral" debt is under pressure again pushing spreads with bunds to, or in some cases close to, euro-era highs. The 10-year benchmark bond of Ireland is now up 6 basis points at 8.72%, while Portugal and Spain are up 7bp to 6.87% and up 11bp to 5.14%, respectively. This has seen gold remain firm in major currencies and remain near nominal highs in euros.
Gold Gold is marginally lower in dollar terms this morning while it has risen in pounds and sharply in euro terms again to over €1,034/oz. Concerns of contagion in the eurozone are increasing and show that markets are shifting their focus from Ireland to sovereign risk in Portugal, and most worryingly Spain, as seen in record bond spreads. Gold is currently trading at $1,374.99/oz, €1,031.50/oz, £871.68/oz.
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