Gold stabilised in Asian and early European trading prior to a 1% fall, while silver’s sharp price fall continues and silver is now down 20% in USD terms in 5 days. The huge and unprecedented increase in margin in the paper silver market has forced some weak hands out of the silver market and allowed the concentrated shorts on Wall Street to press their advantage to the downside.
Gold is mixed while silver is down some 1.5% again today. Weakness is being attributed to profit taking, momentum-driven traders and rumours regarding selling of gold and silver by George Soros’s fund.
Gold has remained robust despite the potentially negative short term implications for safe haven demand due to Bin Laden’s murder. This suggests that market participants do not believe that Bin Laden’s death is of any great importance or that participants realise that the global economy faces greater challenges than that of Bin Laden and al Qaeda.
Gold rose to new record nominal highs at $1,540.85/oz in early Asian trading last night. Silver and gold remain very close to nominal highs today as the beleaguered US dollar remains under pressure due to ultra loose US monetary policies, deepening inflationary price pressures and concerns about the feeble economic recovery.
Gold has risen to new record nominal highs of $1,534/oz as the dollar continues to be sold in international markets. Gold has eked out smaller gains in other fiat currencies but remains close to record nominal highs in euros, yen and pounds. Silver has risen by more than 1% in all currencies so far today.
Gold and silver are tentatively lower this morning despite the dollar and especially the yen being under pressure. The possibility of Japan being downgraded has seen the yen join the dollar under pressure and gold has risen to over 124,000 Japanese yen per ounce, some 2% below the record nominal high just over 126,000/oz.
Silver and gold are lower today after the record nominal highs seen yesterday (gold marginally and silver significantly). Gold reached $1,518.30 per troy ounce, a nominal record, while silver climbed to $49.79 per ounce, its highest nominal level since the short term parabolic spike in 1980.
Gold and silver have surged to new record nominal highs in dollar terms (all time and 31-year) with the dollar falling sharply on international markets. Silver has continued to surge in all currencies and has surged to a new record nominal high of $46.25/oz (£27.85/oz and €31.54/oz) on growing rumours of a short squeeze involving a billionaire or state interest attempting to corner the silver market (see FT news story below).
Gold has breached the $1500/oz level and reached new record nominal highs at $1,505.65/oz. Since yesterday it has gradually risen in all currencies and is approaching record nominal highs in all major currencies. Gold has risen to EUR1,037/oz, GBP920/oz, AUD1,412/oz, CHF1,344/oz and JPY124,640/oz, and is now not far from recent record nominal highs of EUR1,054/oz, GBP922/oz, AUD1,440/oz, CHF1,349/oz and JPY126,000.
Gold and silver closed higher yesterday (+0.45% and +0.65%) after S&P, somewhat belatedly, cut its outlook for the US from stable to negative. While the move seemed to surprise some, many market participants have been warning that this was inevitable for some time.
Concerns that the sovereign debt crisis may be entering a new phase and the risk of contagion has seen peripheral eurozone bonds fall sharply and the euro fall against major currencies and gold today.
Gold and silver have reached new all-time and 31-year record highs in trading in London this morning.
Gold is tentatively higher against the euro but mixed against other currencies, while silver is higher again in most currencies. Both probed upward this morning and are exhibiting signs that they may push higher prior to a much anticipated correction.
Stocks are higher in Europe after gains in Asia despite losses on Wall Street yesterday. Gold and silver are showing tentative gains after 1% declines yesterday. Gold is particularly strong in yen terms as the yen has weakened against all 16 of its major peers (see cross currency tables). China’s yuan climbed to a 17-year high versus the dollar but is lower against the precious metals.
Gold is marginally lower in all currencies today, except sterling, after UK retail sales plunged the most on record in March due to deepening inflation. Consumer’s finances in the UK and internationally are being negatively impacted by food and energy inflation showing the UK’s vulnerability to a double dip recession and stagflation. Gold rose 0.5% in sterling over the £900/oz mark again.
Gold and silver rose to new record nominal highs (all time and 31-year respectively) in Asian trading overnight. Both have given up earlier gains with profit taking being cited. Cash silver surged nearly 3% in Asia to $41.9525 an ounce, a new 31 year high, before trading at $41.31 an ounce.
Gold and silver reached new record all time and 31-year highs respectively again yesterday and this morning - both nominal highs. Silver has surged to a new 31-year nominal high of $40.28/oz and may now target next resistance at $50/oz - the 1980 nominal high.
Gold’s two consecutive days of nominal record highs have seen some profit taking as oil is flat, the dollar is marginally higher and the euro has fallen. The ECB’s 0.25 % interest rate hike may lead to further profit taking today but rising interest rates in an increasingly inflationary environment will be positive for gold as it was from 1965 to 1981 (see charts below).
In trading in London this morning, gold reached a new record nominal high ($1,460.92/oz) and silver a new 31-year nominal high ($39.63/oz) as investors bought the precious metals to hedge deepening sovereign debt risk (in the EU but also in the US with the threat of a federal budget shutdown), geopolitical risk and deepening inflation. Brent crude reached $123.00 a barrel this morning and looks set to challenge the high seen in July 2008 of $145.49.
Gold and silver have consolidated after yesterday’s gains although gains have been made in the Japanese yen which has fallen due to a growing realisation that the nuclear disaster is far from over and will pose massive challenges to the Japanese economy and challenges to the global economy.
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