World’s Ultra Wealthy Urged By Financial Advisers and Largest Banks to “Hold More Gold”

Source: Reuters



◆ World’s wealthy are being urged by their financial advisers to hold more gold as they question the strength of the stock market rally and are concerned about the long-term impact of global central banks’ cash splurge.

ZURICH /LONDON (via Reuters) – As stock markets roar back from the coronavirus led rout, advisers to the world’s wealthy are urging them to hold more gold, questioning the strength of the rally and the long-term impact of global central banks’ cash splurge.

Before the COVID-19 pandemic, most private banks recommended their clients hold none or just a tiny amount of gold.

Now some are channelling up to 10% of their clients’ portfolios into the yellow metal as the massive central bank stimulus reduces bond yields – making non-yielding gold more attractive – and raises the risk of inflation that would devalue other assets and currencies.

While gold prices have already risen 14% since the start of the year to $1,730 an ounce, many private bankers bet that gold – a hedge for both inflation and deflation – has further to run.

“Our view is that the weight of monetary supply, expansion, is going to ultimately be debasing to the dollar, and the Fed commitments, which (are) anchoring real rates, make the case for gold pretty sturdy,” said Lisa Shalett, Chief Investment Officer, Wealth Management at Morgan Stanley (MS.N).

Nine private banks spoken to by Reuters, which collectively oversee around $6 trillion in assets for the world’s ultra-rich, said they had advised clients to increase their allocation to gold. Of them, four provided forecasts and all saw prices ending the year higher than they are now.

UBS (UBSG.S), the world’s biggest wealth manager, said gold could hit $1,800 by year-end in its base-case scenario, driven by ultra-low interest rates and investors seeking gold to hedge their portfolios, or even touch a record high of $2,000 in the event of a second wave of novel coronavirus infections.

“With the recent equity rally, people have become more nervous. People are actively seeking out portfolio hedges that might perform well in a range of scenarios,” said Kiran Ganesh from UBS’s chief investment office.

Morgan Stanley added a 5% position to commodities including gold in all its models at the end of March.

While the bank was unlikely to advise a position above 10% in commodities like gold, Shalett said it could get there, especially if inflation picks up materially.

The boost in demand could be a self-fulfilling prophecy for the metal’s price, as any shift in allocation from bond and equity markets, estimated at up to a combined $200 trillion, has a much larger impact on the smaller gold market, estimated at less than $5 trillion.

While queries about gold have increased, very few clients had demanded a wholesale move into gold – something they would have been advised against – the bankers said, adding older clients tended to be the most concerned about inflation risks.

“That cohort is very concerned about wealth preservation. And in many ways they have a longer historic lens than some of our other clients, so they do worry about inflation,” Morgan Stanley’s Shalett said.

John LaForge, head of real asset strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, said from two calls a week on gold last year, he is now at two calls a day, spiking to 10 calls when the metal has a good day.

“I’m now getting as many questions on gold as I do on oil, which says a lot from my perspective. Most people are interested in renewables and oil and so on, and gold was often considered a relic,” Forge said.

Despite the fact that holding gold pays no income, Oliver Gregson, head of the United Kingdom and Ireland at JPMorgan Private Bank said inquiries had gone up as clients increasingly viewed it as “a port in a storm”. He forecast a $1,750 year-end price target.

For those looking to hedge their bets with a shift to gold, the choices can be split into four: gold mining companies, index funds which represent shares in gold or track the price of gold, derivatives such as options and futures, and gold itself, in the form of bars or coins.

For hedging purposes, the first three are fine. If worries run deeper, investors normally opt for physical.

Andre Portelli, co-head of investments at Barclays Private Bank, said while some clients had begun adding physical gold in early 2020 as COVID-19 spread, the trend had continued.

Most of the larger banks offer a gold bar storage service and eight of those questioned by Reuters said they had seen an uptick in demand, particularly in locations such as Switzerland and Singapore.



Access Latest Goldnomics Podcast (Part II) Here


NEWS and COMMENTARY

Gold price surges to 7.5-year high as coronavirus concerns mount

Gold futures climb to highest finish since mid-April as cases of COVID-19 rise

Gold jumps, hits highest in more than a month on uptick in pandemic

Fed’s Rosengren sees difficult second half for U.S. economy

Weak Dollar Could Make Gold ETFs Glitter Some More



GOLD PRICES (USD, GBP & EUR – AM/ PM LBMA Fix)

22-Jun-20  1745.45 1761.85, 1405.26 1418.11 & 1555.72 1567.17
19-Jun-20  1728.55 1734.75, 1392.17 1401.16 & 1541.18 1545.49
18-Jun-20  1732.65 1719.50, 1384.73 1383.51 & 1539.29 1532.93
17-Jun-20  1717.30 1724.35, 1368.69 1375.17 & 1527.88 1537.26
16-Jun-20  1728.35 1719.85, 1366.61 1361.78 & 1525.44 1526.54
15-Jun-20  1710.40 1710.45, 1365.58 1361.52 & 1520.72 1516.83
12-Jun-20  1735.85 1733.50, 1374.10 1378.13 & 1533.28 1534.15
11-Jun-20  1731.90 1738.25, 1361.79 1373.74 & 1519.57 1528.10

10-Jun-20  1717.65 1722.05, 1346.64 1350.26 & 1511.88 1515.23
09-Jun-20  1707.50 1713.50, 1350.46 1348.87 & 1515.41 1510.62
08-Jun-20  1692.00 1690.35, 1333.97 1331.32 & 1496.91 1494.61
05-Jun-20  1709.55 1683.45, 1353.79 1327.91 & 1510.22 1490.53
04-Jun-20  1706.45 1700.05, 1363.97 1353.58 & 1523.86 1507.77



Own gold coins and bars in the safest vaults in Zurich, Switzerland with GoldCore. Learn why Switzerland remains a safe haven jurisdiction for owning precious metals. Access Our Most Popular Guide, the Essential Guide to Storing Gold in Switzerland here


Receive Our Award Winning Market Updates In Your Inbox – Sign Up Here



Mark O'Byrne

Also on news-goldcore-com

Videos

When will Silver Break Out? Is Triple Digit Silver Still on the Cards?

Is Gold Still in a Bull Market?

Gold Mining Operation Supply Issues Points to a Sustained Bull Market for Gold

Blog posts

Quantitative Easing: A Boon or Curse?

Central banks’ massive Quantitative Easing (QE) programs have come under scrutiny many times since the central banks fired up the printing press and began quantitative easing programs en masse after the 2008-09 Great Financial Crisis. However, the increase in central bank assets due to quantitative easing programs during the crisis pale in comparison to the […]

READ MORE

The Fed’s Inflation Gamble Continues

The fed’s inflation gamble continues… Are central banks trapped? Last week’s Fed statement and the press conference that followed proved to be the start of a US$90 (4.8%) decline in the gold price. Fed on Economic Recovery The Summary of Economic Projections (known as the dot-plots) released with the statement showed that committee members changed […]

READ MORE

Gold as a Currency- Interactive Gold Charts

Gold has a long history as a currency and as part of the monetary system. The use of gold as a currency dates back to 600 BC in what is present-day Turkey. Coins were first made of electrum – which is an alloy made up of gold and silver, with trace amounts of other metals. […]

READ MORE

Featured

Silver – 7 Reasons it is Still Set to Soar

READ MORE

Gold, the Tried-and-True Inflation Hedge for What’s Coming!

READ MORE

How High is Too High for Rising Government Bond Yields?

READ MORE
Newsletter
Category
Archives
Popular

No posts available

Videos

When will Silver Break Out? Is Triple Digit Silver Still on the Cards?

Is Gold Still in a Bull Market?

Gold Mining Operation Supply Issues Points to a Sustained Bull Market for Gold

Blog posts

Quantitative Easing: A Boon or Curse?

Central banks’ massive Quantitative Easing (QE) programs have come under scrutiny many times since the central banks fired up the printing press and began quantitative easing programs en masse after the 2008-09 Great Financial Crisis. However, the increase in central bank assets due to quantitative easing programs during the crisis pale in comparison to the […]

READ MORE

The Fed’s Inflation Gamble Continues

The fed’s inflation gamble continues… Are central banks trapped? Last week’s Fed statement and the press conference that followed proved to be the start of a US$90 (4.8%) decline in the gold price. Fed on Economic Recovery The Summary of Economic Projections (known as the dot-plots) released with the statement showed that committee members changed […]

READ MORE

Gold as a Currency- Interactive Gold Charts

Gold has a long history as a currency and as part of the monetary system. The use of gold as a currency dates back to 600 BC in what is present-day Turkey. Coins were first made of electrum – which is an alloy made up of gold and silver, with trace amounts of other metals. […]

READ MORE

Featured

Silver – 7 Reasons it is Still Set to Soar

READ MORE

Gold, the Tried-and-True Inflation Hedge for What’s Coming!

READ MORE

How High is Too High for Rising Government Bond Yields?

READ MORE