Daily Market Update

‘Nightmare Scenario’ For EU Bond Markets As Anti-Euro Italian Goverment Takes Power

by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, Daily Telegraph

Firebrand populists of Left and Right are poised to take power in Italy, forming the first “anti-system” government in a major West European state since the Second World War.

Source: Wikimedia Commons

Leaders of the radical Five Star Movement and the anti-euro Lega party have been meeting to put the finishing touches on a coalition of outsiders, the “nightmare scenario” feared by foreign investors and EU officials in equal measure.

The unlikely allies vow a blizzard of contentious measures, threatening to cancel VAT rises, overturn key market reforms, introduce a universal “basic income” for the poor, and launch a fiscal blitz in open defiance of EU spending rules.

The formation of such a government could stiffen German resistance to any form of EMU union or debt pooling. It effectively dooms the Macron plan for a eurozone budget, leaving monetary union as vulnerable as ever going into the next global downturn.

Earlier proposals included the creation of a parallel currency or “fiscal certificate”. This would be based on perpetual treasury notes to cover €70bn (£62bn) of tax rebates and funds owed to state contractors. It is a way to inject liquidity into the economy, and to reintroduce the lira by stealth.

The scheme would – if ever enacted – subvert the monetary control of the European Central Bank and destroy German political consent for the single currency. It ultimately renders the euro structure unworkable.

“It is not going to be so revolutionary from the beginning. Nobody expects us to come out of the euro on day one, but what we will have is the first free government in Italy for many long years .”

Full article on The Telegraph here (must register)

 

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News and Commentary

PRECIOUS-Gold rises as U.S. rate-hike view grounds dollar (Reuters.com)

Gold prices rise as U.S. rate hike view grounds dollar (Reuters.com)

U.S. Retreat From Trade Deals Poses a New Threat to Dollar (WSJ.com)

Stock Markets Flashing Green, Dollar Slips While Gold Shines (Investing.com)

Consumer sentiment is unchanged in early May – University of Michigan (MarketWatch.com)


Source: Bloomberg

Gold Futures Suggest Gold Has Bottomed (BloombergQuint.com)

The Truth About Gold That Neither Bugs Nor Bulls Like to Admit (ZeroHedge.com)

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Who will win the battle of the tech firms – America’s west or China’s east? (MoneyWeek.com)

The charts that matter: some respite from the rising dollar (MoneyWeek.com)

 

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Gold Prices (LBMA AM)

11 May: USD 1,324.80, GBP 978.23 & EUR 1,110.45 per ounce
10 May: USD 1,314.80, GBP 969.27 & EUR 1,106.80 per ounce
09 May: USD 1,306.85, GBP 965.11 & EUR 1,102.07 per ounce
08 May: USD 1,310.05, GBP 969.44 & EUR 1,101.88 per ounce
04 May: USD 1,309.35, GBP 965.78 & EUR 1,094.09 per ounce
03 May: USD 1,313.30, GBP 966.19 & EUR 1,094.64 per ounce
02 May: USD 1,310.75, GBP 960.52 & EUR 1,091.99 per ounce

Silver Prices (LBMA)

11 May: USD 16.76, GBP 12.35 & EUR 14.04 per ounce
10 May: USD 16.60, GBP 12.24 & EUR 13.97 per ounce
09 May: USD 16.44, GBP 12.12 & EUR 13.84 per ounce
08 May: USD 16.45, GBP 12.17 & EUR 13.85 per ounce
04 May: USD 16.42, GBP 12.10 & EUR 13.72 per ounce
03 May: USD 16.47, GBP 12.12 & EUR 13.74 per ounce
02 May: USD 16.35, GBP 11.98 & EUR 13.62 per ounce


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Mark O'Byrne
Executive Director

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